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U.S. House Races
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| U.S. House (plus Reapportionment and Redistricting)
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updated April 24, 2012
Two major themes for 2012 House races are Republicans' need to defend the 87 freshmen members they gained in the Nov. 2010 mid-term elections (plus 2 additional members in special elections), and changes due to reapportionment and redistricting. Ten states are losing seats; eight states gain seats. This will lead to many interesting races, forcing some members into new districts and prompting retirements and even some member on member contests. Republicans vowed to stay on the offense (memo). Third party candidates likely will not win any House seats, but they can tip the balance in close races. Libertarians are aiming for 200 candidates for House and hoping that "2012 may be one of the biggest years ever for the Libertarian Party" (release).
A. REDISTRICTING | B. VACANCIES & SPECIAL ELECTIONS | C. RETIREMENTS | D. REPUBLICAN FRESHMEN
See also: DCCC (organization) | NRCC (organization).
- A. Redistricting
- In some states there was a
non-partisan process and in others the legislature played a key
role in redistricting. Republicans seemed to gain some advantage
in drawing the new lines as a result of their historic
gains of nearly 700 legislative seats on Election Day, November 2010 (>).
-
States Gaining Electoral Votes due to Reapportionment
following the 2010 Census
2008 2012 Texas (+4) 34
38
Florida (+2) 27
29
Arizona (+1) 10
11
Georgia (+1) 15
16
Nevada (+1) 5
6
South Carolina (+1) 8
9
Utah (+1) 5
6
Washington (+1) 11
12
States Losing Electoral Votes due to Reapportionment
following the 2010 Census
2008 2012 Ohio (-2) 20 18 New York (-2) 31 29 IIlinois (-1) 21 20 Iowa (-1) >
7 6 Louisiana (-1) 9 8 Massachusetts (-1)
12
11
Michigan (-1) 17 16 Missouri (-1) 11 10 New Jersey (-1) 15 14 Pennsylvania (-1) 21 20
- One interesting consequence of redistricting is Member vs. Member campaigns.
- Democratic Primaries
- OH-9 [March 6]: Marcy Kaptur vs.
Dennis
Kucinich
- PA-12 [April
24]: Mark Critz
vs. Jason Altmire
- CA-30 [June 5]: Howard
Berman vs. Brad Sherman
- CA-44 [June 5]: Janice Hahn vs. Laura Richardson
- NJ-9 [June 5]: Bill Pascrell vs. Steve Rothman
- MI-14 [Aug. 7]: Hansen Clarke vs. Gary Peters
- MO-1 [Aug. 7]: Lacy Clay
vs. Russ Carnahan
- Republican Primaries
- IL-16 [March 20]: Adam Kinzinger vs. Don Manzullo
- FL-7 [Aug. 14]:
Sandy Adams vs. John Mica
- AZ-6 [Aug. 28]: Ben
Quayle vs. Dave Schweikert
- LA-3 [Nov. 6]: Charles Boustany vs. Jeff Landry
- General Election
- IA-3: Leonard Boswell (D) vs. Tom Latham (R)
- OH-16: Betty Sutton (D) vs. Jim Renacci (R)
- New districts
(districts below are old
districts unless otherwise indicated)
- Republicans - RNC-Redistricting;
RSLC-The
Redistricting
Majority Project (REDMAP); Making
America's
Promise
Secure
- Democrats - DLCC-Redistricting Updates;
National
Democratic
Redistricting
Trust;
The
Foundation for
the Future
- Americans for Redistricting Reform
- Brookings
Institution: Principles
for
Transparency
and
Public
Participation
in
Redistricting
- USC Annenberg Center: The ReDistricting Game
- Brennan Center for Justice: Redistricting
- Public Mapping Project
- National Conference of State Legislatures: Redistricting
- Rose Institute of State and Local Government: "Redistricting in America: A State-by-State Analysis" [April 2010].
B. Vacancies and Special Elections
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| C.Lee |
J.Harman |
D.Heller |
A.Weiner |
D.Wu |
G.Giffords |
D.Payne |
J.Inslee |
R-Chris Lee (NY-26) [first elected Nov. 2008] - announced on Feb. 9, 2011 his resignation effective immediately due to a Craigslist photo scandal. Special election: May 24: Kathy Hochul (D) defeated Jane Corwin (R). Democratic pick-up (+)
D-Jane Harman (CA-36) [first elected Nov. 1992, did not seek re-election in 1998; elected in 2000 and since] - announced Feb. 8, 2011 she was resigning effective Feb. 28, 2011 to become director of the Woodrow Wilson Center. Special election: top two primary May 17; general election July 12: Janice Hahn (D) defeated Craig Huey (R).
R-Dean Heller (NV-2) [first elected Nov. 2006] - announced March 15, 2011 running for U.S. Senate; on April 27, 2011 Gov. Sandoval announced his intention to appoint Heller to fill the Senate seat and Heller was sworn in on May 9, 2011. Special election: September 13: Mark Amodei (R) defeated Kate Marshall (D).
D-Andrew Weiner (NY-9) [first elected Nov. 1998] - announced on June 16, 2011 that he will resign due to a Twitter photo scandal. Special election: September 13: Bob Turner (R/C) defeated David Weprin (D/IP/WF). Republican pick-up (+)
D-David Wu (OR-1) [first elected Nov. 1998] - announced on July 26, 2011 that he would resign after the debt ceiling situation was resolved due allegations about unwanted advances toward a young woman. Special election: primary November 8; general election Jan. 31, 2012: Suzanne Bonamici (D) defeated Rob Cornilles (R).
D-Gabrielle Giffords (AZ-8) [first elected Nov. 2012] - announced on Jan. 22, 2012 that she would resign, and resigned on Jan. 25 to focus on her recovery. Special election: primary April 17; general June 12. Ron Barber (D) faces Jesse Kelly (R)
D-Donald Payne (NJ-10) [first elected Nov. 1988] - died March 6, 2012.
D-Jay Inslee (WA-1) [first elected Nov. 1998] - announced on March 10, 2012 that he would resign effective March 20 to focus on his campaign for governor.
C. Retirements
Chronologically by when announced retirement
| Democrats |
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| C.Murphy CT-5 / 2006 |
M. Heinrich NM-1 / 2008 |
S.Berkley NV-1 / 2008 |
J.Donnelly IN-2 / 2006 |
M.Hirono HI-2 / 2006 |
D.Boren OK-4 / 2004 |
B.Filner CA-51/ 1992 |
L.Woolsey CA-6 / 1992 |
D.Kildee MI-5 / 1976 |
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| M.Ross AR-4 / 2000 |
T.Baldwin WI-2 / 1998 |
J.Costello IL-12 / 1988 |
D.Cardoza CA-18 / 2002 |
J.Olver MA-1 / 2001 |
C.Gonzalez TX-20 / 1998 |
B.Frank MA-4 / 1980 |
M.Hinchey NY-22 /1992 |
B.Miller NC-13 / 2002 |
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| H.Shuler NC-11 / 2006 |
N.Dicks WA-6 / 1976 |
G.Ackerman NY-5 / 1983 |
E.Towns NY-10 / 1982 |
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| Defeated in
primary (new district) |
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| D.Kucinich OH-10 / 1996 |
J.Altmire PA-12 / 2006 |
T.Holden PA-17 / 1992 |
| Republicans |
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| D.Rehberg MT / 2000 |
J.Flake AZ-6 / 2000 |
M.Pence IN-6 / 2000 |
R.Berg ND / 2010 |
T.Akin MO-2 / 2000 |
R.Paul TX-14 / 1996 |
C.Mack IV FL-14 / 2004 |
G.Davis KY-4 / 2002 |
S.Austria OH-7 / 2008 |
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| E.Gallegly CA-24 / 1986 |
W.Herger CA-2 / 1986 |
J.Lewis CA-41 / 1978 |
T.Platts PA-19 / 2000 |
D.Burton IN-5 / 1982 |
S.Myrick NC-9 / 1994 |
D.Dreier CA-26 / 1980 |
B.Turner NY-9 / 2011 |
T.Johnson IL-15 / 2000 |
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| Defeated in primary | ![]() |
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| J.Schmidt OH-2 / 2005 |
D.Manzullo IL-16 / 1992 |
Not Returning By State
| Arizona R-Jeff Flake (AZ-6) Arkansas D-Mike Ross (AR-4) California R-Wally Herger (CA-2) D-Lynn Woolsey (CA-6) D-Dennis Cardoza (CA-18) R-Elton Gallegly (CA-24) R-David Dreier (CA-26) R-Jerry Lewis (CA-41) D-Bob Filner (CA-51) Connecticut D-Chris Murphy (CT-5) Florida R-Connie Mack IV (FL-14) Hawaii D-Mazie Hirono (HI-2) |
Illinois D-Jerry Costello (IL-12) R-Tim Johnson (IL-15) *R-Don Manzullo (IL-16) Indiana D-Joe Donnelly (IN-2) R-Dan Burton (IN-5) R-Mike Pence (IN-6) Kentucky R-Geoff Davis (KY-4) Massachusetts D-John Olver (MA-1) D-Barney Frank (MA-4) Michigan D-Dale Kildee (MI-5) |
Missouri R-Todd Akin (MO-2) Montana R-Denny Rehberg (MT) Nevada D-Shelley Berkley (NV-1) New Mexico D-Martin Heinrich (NM-1) New York D-Gary Ackerman (NY-5) R-Bob Turner (NY-9) D-Edolphus Towns (NY-10) D-Maurice Hinchey (NY-22) North Carolina R-Sue Myrick (NC-9) D-Heath Shuler (NC-11) D-Brad Miller (NC-13) North Dakota R-Rick Berg (ND) |
Ohio R-Steve Austria (OH-7) *R-Jean Schmidt (OH-2) *D-Dennis Kucinich (old OH-10/new OH-9) Oklahoma D-Dan Boren (OK-2) Pennsylvania *D-Jason Altmire (old PA-4/new PA-12) *D-Tim Holden (PA-17) R-Todd Platts (PA-19) Texas R-Ron Paul (TX-14) D-Charlie Gonzalez (TX-20) Washington D-Norm Dicks (WA-6) Wisconsin D-Tammy Baldwin (WI-2) |
Not Returning By Year Elected
| 1970s | 1980s | 1990s | 2000s |
| 1976 D-Dale Kildee (MI-5) D-Norm Dicks (WA-6) 1978 R-Jerry Lewis (CA-41) |
1980 R-David Dreier (CA-26) D-Barney Frank (MA-4) 1982 R-Dan Burton (IN-5) D-Edolphus Towns (NY-10) 1983 D-Gary Ackerman (NY-5) 1986 R-Wally Herger (CA-2) R-Elton Gallegly (CA-24) 1988 D-Jerry Costello (IL-12) |
1992 D-Lynn Woolsey (CA-6) D-Bob Filner (CA-51) *R-Don Manzullo (IL-16) D-Maurice Hinchey (NY-22) D-Tim Holden (PA-17) 1994 R-Sue Myrick (NC-9) 1996 *D-Dennis Kucinich (OH-10) *D-Jason Altmire (old PA-4/new PA-12) R-Ron Paul (TX-14)1 1998 D-Shelley Berkley (NV-1) D-Charlie Gonzalez (TX-20) D-Tammy Baldwin (WI-2) |
2000 R-Jeff Flake (AZ-6) D-Mike Ross (AR-4) R-Tim Johnson (IL-15) R-Mike Pence (IN-6) R-Todd Akin (MO-2) R-Denny Rehberg (MT) R-Todd Platts (PA-19) 2001 D-John Olver (MA-1) 2002 D-Dennis Cardoza (CA-18) R-Geoff Davis (KY-4) D-Brad Miller (NC-13) 2004 R-Connie Mack (FL-14) D-Dan Boren (OK-2) 2005 *R-Jean Schmidt (OH-2) 2006 D-Chris Murphy (CT-5) D-Mazie Hirono (HI-2) D-Joe Donnelly (IN-2) D-Heath Shuler (NC-11) 2008 D-Martin Heinrich (NM-1) R-Steve Austria (OH-7) 2010 R-Rick Berg (ND) 2011 R-Bob Turner (NY-9) |
Jan. 20, 2011...D-Chris Murphy (CT-5) [first elected Nov. 2006] - announced running for U.S. Senate.
Feb. 5, 2011...R-Denny Rehberg (MT) [first elected Nov. 2000] - announced running for U.S. Senate.
Feb. 14, 2011...R-Jeff Flake (AZ-6) [first elected Nov. 2000] - announced running for U.S. Senate.
April 2, 2011...D-Martin Heinrich (NM-1) [first elected Nov. 2008] - announced running for U.S. Senate.
April 14, 2011...D-Shelley Berkley (NV-1) [first elected Nov. 1998] - announced running for U.S. Senate.
May 5, 2011...R-Mike Pence (IN-6) [first elected Nov. 2000] - announced running for Governor.
May 9, 2011...D-Joe Donnelly (IN-2) [first elected Nov. 2006] - announced running for U.S. Senate.
May 16, 2011...R-Rick Berg (ND) [first elected Nov. 2010] - announced running for U.S. Senate.
May 17, 2011...R-Todd Akin (MO-2) [first elected Nov. 2000] - announced running for U.S. Senate.
May 19, 2011...D-Mazie Hirono (HI-2) [first elected Nov. 2006] - announced running for U.S. Senate.
June 7, 2011...D-Dan Boren (OK-2) [first elected Nov. 2004]
June 8, 2011...D-Bob Filner (CA-51) [first elected Nov. 1992] - announced running of Mayor of San Diego.
June 27, 2011...D-Lynn Woolsey (CA-6) [first elected Nov. 1992]
July 12, 2011 - R-Ron Paul (TX-14) [first elected April 1976 special election but defeated Nov. 1976; elected Nov 1978, did not seek re-election in 1984; elected 1996 and subsequently]
July 15, 2011 - D-Dale Kildee (MI-5) [first elected Nov. 1976]
July 25, 2011 - D-Mike Ross (AR-4) [first elected Nov. 2000]
Sept. 6, 2011 - D-Tammy Baldwin (WI-2) [first elected Nov. 1998]
Oct. 4, 2011 - D-Jerry Costello (IL-12) [from Aug. 1988]
Oct. 20, 2011 - D-Dennis Cardoza (CA-18) [first elected Nov. 2002]
Oct. 26, 2011 - D-John Olver (MA-1) [first elected June 2001]
Nov. 26, 2011 - D-Charlie Gonzalez (TX-20) [first elected Nov. 1998]
Nov. 28, 2011 - D-Barney Frank (MA-4) [first elected Nov. 1980]
Nov. 28, 2011 - R-Connie Mack IV (FL-14) [first elected Nov. 2004] - announced running for U.S. Senate.
Dec. 15, 2011 - R-Geoff Davis (KY-4) [first elected Nov. 2002]
Dec. 30, 2011 - R-Steve Austria (OH-7) [first elected Nov. 2008]
Jan. 7, 2012 - R-Elton Gallegly (CA-24) [first elected Nov. 1986]
Jan. 10, 2012 - R-Wally Herger (CA-2) [first elected Nov. 1986]
Jan. 12, 2012 - R-Jerry Lewis (CA-41) [first elected Nov. 1978]
Jan. 17, 2012 - R-Todd Platts (PA-19) [first elected Nov. 2000]
Jan. 19, 2012 - D-Maurice Hinchey (NY-22) [first elected Nov. 1992]
Jan. 26, 2012 - D-Brad Miller (NC-13) [first elected Nov. 2002]
Jan. 31, 2012 - R-Dan Burton (IN-5) [first elected Nov. 1982]
Feb. 2, 2012 - D-Heath Shuler (NC-11) [first elected Nov. 2006]
Feb. 7, 2012 - R-Sue Myrick (NC-9) [first elected Nov. 1994]
Feb. 29, 2012 - R-David Dreier (CA-26) [first elected Nov. 1980]
March 2, 2012 - D-Norm Dicks (WA-6) [first elected Nov. 1976]
*March 6, 2012 - R-Jean Schmidt (OH-2) [first elected in Aug. 2005 special election] lost to Brad Wenstrup in CD-2 primary
*March 6, 2012 - D-Dennis Kucinich (OH-10) [first elected Nov. 1996] lost to Rep. Marcy Kaptur in CD-9 primary
March 13, 2012 - R-Bob Turner (NY-9) [first elected Sept. 2012] - announced running for U.S. Senate
March 15, 2012 - D-Gary Ackerman (NY-5) [first elected 1983]
*March 20, 2012 - R-Don Manzullo (IL-16) [first elected Nov. 1992] lost to Adam Kinzinger in CD-16 primary
April 5, 2012 - R-Tim Johnson (IL-15) [first elected Nov. 2000] won March 20 primary; county GOP chairs to choose candidate.
April 16, 2012 - D-Edolphus Towns (NY-10) [first elected Nov. 1982]
D. 89 Republican Freshmen
| Martha Roby
(AL-2) Mo Brooks (AL-5) Paul Gosar (AZ-1) Ben Quayle (AZ-3) David Schweikert (AZ-5) Rick Crawford (AR-1) Tim Griffin (AR-2) Steve Womack (AR-3) Jeff Denham (CA-19) Scott Tipton (CO-3) Cory Gardner (CO-4) Steve Southerland (FL-2) Rich Nugent (FL-5) Daniel Webster (FL-8) Dennis Ross (FL-12) Alan West (FL-22) Sandy Adams (FL-24) David Rivera (FL-25) Rob Woodall (GA-7) Austin Scott (GA-8) Raul Labrador (ID-1) Joe Walsh (IL-8) |
Robert Dold
(IL-10) Adam Kinzinger (IL-11) Randy Hultgren (IL-14) Bobby Schilling (IL-17) Marlin Stutzman (IN-3) Todd Rokita (IN-4) Larry Bucshon (IN-8) Todd Young (IN-9) Tim Huelskamp (KS-1) Kevin Yoder (KS-3) Mike Pompeo (KS-4) Jeff Landry (LA-3) Andy Harris (MD-1) Dan Denishek (MI-1) Bill Huizenga (MI-2) Justin Amash (MI-3) Tim Walberg (MI-7) Chip Cravaack (MN-8) Vicky Hartzler (MO-4) Billy Long (MO-7) Alan Nunnelee (MS-1) Steven Palazzo (MS-4) |
Joe Heck (NV-3) Frank Guinta (NH-1) Charlie Bass (NH-2) Jon Runyan (NJ-3) Steve Pearce (NM-2) Michael Grimm (NY-13) Nan Hayworth (NY-19) Chris Gibson (NY-20) Richard Hanna (NY-24) Ann Marie Buerkle (NY-25) Tom Reed (NY-29) Renee Ellmers (NC-2) Rick Berg (ND-AL) James Lankford (OK-5) Steve Chabot (OH-1) Bill Johnson (OH-6) Steve Stivers (OH-15) Jim Renacci (OH-16) Bob Gibbs (OH-18) Mike Kelly (PA-3) Pat Meehan (PA-7) Mike Fitzpatrick (PA-8) |
Tom Marino
(PA-10) Lou Barletta (PA-11) Tim Scott (SC-1) Jeff Duncan (SC-3) Trey Gowdy (SC-4) Mick Mulvaney (SC-5) Kristi Noem (SD-AL) Charles Fleischmann (TN-3) Scott DesJarlais (TN-4) Diane Black (TN-6) Stephen Bincher (TN-8) Bill Flores (TX-17) Quico Canseco (TX-23) Blake Farenthold (TX-27) Scott Rigell (VA-2) Robert Hurt (VA-5) Morgan Griffith (VA-9) Jaime Herrera (WA-3) David McKinley (WV-1) Sean Duffy (WI-7) Reid Ribble (WI-8) plus Mark Amodei (NV-2) Bob Turner (NY-9) |















































