Cook compared this cycle to 1994, when "we never saw the magnitude" (Republicans gained 52 House seats). From 1994 he learned that "all politics is local except when it's not." Cook said this cycle "looks like its going to be one of the really big ones." He said there is a "very, very, very, very good chance of the House tipping." However, he said it would be "an unearned win" for Republicans.
Rothenberg said that no one saw this happening a year ago. Obama's job approval fell markedly between May and September 2009. "The public has changed its view of the administration and the economy." "This election is about Democrats and President Obama," he said. Rothenberg said Democrats will try to "beat the stuffing out of individual Republicans" and they "have a lot of ammunition, but do the voters care?"
